Despite all the troubles in Europe, the German DAX ($DAX) remains in a uptrend since March 2009 and has yet to roll over. The index is above its 12-month moving average and MACD(5,35,5) is positive. However, notice that index retraced 50-62% of its prior decline and is starting to stall. This is a critical area to watch.

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The amount of nervous energy in today’s FX market has already translated into some choppy, range-bound trading. The source is obviously the impending release of the EU bank stress test due to be issued at 16:00 GMT. Today, German IFO data came in much stronger than expected spiking the EURUSD 40 pips rallying up to 1.2965. In the back of our minds, we remember that torrent of support…

Wall Street will be closely watching the results of the European bank stress tests on Friday even as the deluge of earnings continue.